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If short-term forecasts fail, why project eighty years out? Because long horizons focus attention on slow-moving forces such as demography […]

Niger grows in aggregate terms for decades yet ends the century with little per capita progress. This case study shows

Without productivity gains from advanced AI, many wealthy economies would stall. With them, growth stabilizes above demographic drag. This post

Japan’s trajectory from postwar powerhouse to demographic constraint did not happen overnight. This post traces the turning points and explains

A 23.7 percent share of global GDP does not mean collapse. It means the relative weight has shifted. This post

Nigeria’s projected 60.5 trillion dollar economy in 2100 looks implausible at first glance. It is not. When you combine a

Without productivity gains from advanced AI, many wealthy economies would stall. With them, growth stabilizes above demographic drag. This post

Niger grows in aggregate terms for decades yet ends the century with little per capita progress. This case study shows

If short-term forecasts fail, why project eighty years out? Because long horizons focus attention on slow-moving forces such as demography